Programme
Thursday 24th April 2008
08:30 Registration
09:00 Chairman's Opening Remarks
Keith Mullin, Editor-in-chief, IFR
09:15 RISK - Analysing investment risks and asset correlations in emerging markets
- Are EM assets an uncorrelated asset class and if so how might assets become more closely correlated as markets develop?
- What strategies can be deployed to mitigate against countercyclical risks, including commodity and interest rate risks in EM?
- What are the current investment risks in key EM markets and how are those risks best managed?
09:45 DEBT ORIGINATION - Local vs global - domestic and international bond issuance trends for 2008/09
- Examining debt origination trends and the prospects for new issuers in 2008/09
- Local vs global - what are the current pros and cons for borrowers raising capital domestically vs internationally?
- How might the syndicated bond market develop in 2008/09?
10:15 CORPORATES - Reviewing and forecasting EM corporate issuance in volatile global markets
- Analysing current trends in EM corporate bond issuance, notable examples in 2007 and market developments in 2008
- What are the hot EM sectors and corporates in EM likely to issue in domestic or international over the next year
- Identifying convertible bonds issues and hot equity prospects across EM
10:45 Q&A
11:00 Refreshments
11:30 SECURITISATION - Scanning EM securitisation mandates and opportunities for institutional investors
- Reviewing major asset back securitisations in EM in 2007 and forecasting securitisation trends in 2008/09
- Comparing government and corporate securitisations in EM and investor opportunities
- Which EM assets might be considered undervalued and how is EM price and inflation risk best managed
12:00 Securitisation in the emerging markets – recent research findings
12:15 Q&A and discussion
12:30 STRUCTURED PRODUCTS - Identifying EM credit derivative strategies and structured products for EM funds
- Are EM credit derivatives the most efficient method of gaining EM exposure in institutional portfolios?
- What are the current EM structured product trends and EM structured product innovations?
- What are the risks inherent in EM structured products and how are they best managed?
13:00 Lunch
14:00 DECOUPLING - Fresh research on the decoupling of EM economies from US economic cycles and the implications for EM investments
- Which countries are decoupling from US economic cycles, how is this known and what are the implications for emerging market funds?
- What models and methodologies are deployed in the assessment of emerging market country risks - how can such models be benchmarked and how can the reliability of research be measured?
- Highlighting geo hotspots, including China, Asia and specific risk types
14:30 SOVEREIGNS- From debt to surplus – identifying EM sovereign strategies, including Sovereign Wealth Funds, in 2008/09
- Where in EM will capital flows and borrowing activity be most felt - where are the default risks and high yield hot spots?
- As EMs move into surplus positions, what are the prospects for EM deal flow and new issues going forward?
- How might EM Sovereign Wealth Funds influence the strategies of investment banks?
15:00 FX AND CURRENCY PANEL - Examining exotic currency issuance trends by high grade borrowers
- Who benefits from exotic currency issues?
- How can investors best get exposure to EM currencies?
- What are current trends and forecast in exotic FX?15;30 Refreshments
16:00 INFRASTRUCTURE - Mapping EM for large upcoming infrastructure and energy bond issues for institutional and corporate investors
- Where will infrastructure and project finance mandates come from in 2008/09
- Are long dated EM sovereign bond issues for infrastructure projects a solid investment – how much exposure is good for institutional investors?
How do government infrastructure issues compare with corporate issues across EM?
16:30 OUTLOOK - Macroeconomic outlook across the emerging markets - identifying opportunities and havens for global investment
- How far are emerging markets a haven from current US and developed market volatilities?
- Identifying key factors driving growth in the BRIC economies and the wider EM nations, growth projections for 2008/09 and inflation trends
- What are the likely borrowing requirements in key EM nations and how might this translate into bond issuance in 2008/09?
17:00 Chairman’s Closing Remarks, Questions and Answers
17:15 End of Day 1
Friday 25th April 2008
08:30 Morning Refreshments
09:00 Chairman's Opening Remarks
Keith Mullin, Editor-in-Chief, IFR
09:15 REGIONAL FOCUS - Different strategies for different regions – short papers focusing on key regional investment strategies in EM and new niche opportunities in emergent markets
MIDDLE EAST
- Exploring opportunities in corporate and government bond and loan issues
AFRICA
- Identifying successful issues such as Ghana in 2007/08 and market growth in sub-Saharan Africa after Kenyan turbulence
Russia and CIS
- Reviewing DCM and ABS activity and market trends in the coming year
CHINA, INDIA AND S.E ASIA
- Analysing adjusted regional growth projections and prospects for sovereign and corporate issuers in 2008/09
BRAZIL, MEXICO AND LATIN AMERICA
- How far might the growth of Mexico and Brazil’s fuel Latin American issues beyond the Brady bond era?
10:30 Q&A and discussion
11:00 Refreshments
11:30 EM FUNDS PANEL - Surveying the development of EM funds and the benefits for institutional investors
- What are the key benefits of including EM funds in investment portfolios and what are investors currently looking for?
- What are the current EM regional, sector and investment product trends for 2008/09
- Which EM funds can be considered investment grade and how is current market performance influencing long and short positions in EM funds
12:30 Chairman's closing remarks following by lunch